Football World Cup 2014

Who Will Win?


  • Total voters
    49

ileks

Part of the furniture
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Jul 26, 2007
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2,293
Bets for today:
Aus v Netherlands: layed netherlands for £1400 @ 1.25
Cameroon v Croatia: layed Croatia for £877 @ 1.71
Spain v Chile: layed Spain for £1258 @ 1.59

The Spain bet is controversial, but our models say that betfair have them hugely overrrated to win, so we've layed them for maximum bet (£2000/1.59) as it's a very strong conviction. On the other hand, they've got it all to play for and our models don't factor in the emotional and situational side very well, so it might all go a bit pete tong. Oh well. Roll the dice mo'fuckers!

Oh, total running P&L after last night: £1,479.43

Nice one Chilly.

Do you also gamble in play? I'm not talking about the high frequency stuff but proper betting. As in, do your models tell you what the score is likely to be given the score/situation during the game?
 

ileks

Part of the furniture
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Jul 26, 2007
Messages
2,293
Forgot about this!
a5d0m7G_460sa_v1.gif
 

Chilly

Balls of steel
Joined
Dec 22, 2003
Messages
9,047
Nice one Chilly.

Do you also gamble in play? I'm not talking about the high frequency stuff but proper betting. As in, do your models tell you what the score is likely to be given the score/situation during the game?
No, not with football. With cricket: yes. With tennis, in the future, yes. Probably never for football.
 

old.user4556

Has a sexy sister. I am also a Bodhi wannabee.
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Dec 22, 2003
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16,163
Bet in play with the amount of diving that goes on? No thanks.
 

Embattle

FH is my second home
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Dec 22, 2003
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13,524
Don't think Holland can go all the way, defence seems a bit weak at times.
 

ileks

Part of the furniture
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Jul 26, 2007
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2,293
Spain have dropped Xavi and Pique apparently. Strange. I'd have dropped Costa and gone for someone who can hold the ball up and bring the midfield into play more.
 

megadave

I am a FH squatter
Joined
Apr 3, 2006
Messages
11,911
Spain have dropped Xavi and Pique apparently. Strange. I'd have dropped Costa and gone for someone who can hold the ball up and bring the midfield into play more.
Who is that exactly?

Pique was terrible in the last game, Martinez should be better although he should really be in DM. Xavi has been poor all season, he shouldn't have been in the squad imo, time to move forward. Surprised Koke isn't starting.
 

DaGaffer

Down With That Sorta Thing
Joined
Dec 22, 2003
Messages
18,516
This is starting to look like the most wide-open World Cup since the sixties. Only ze Germans seem to have read the script.
 

megadave

I am a FH squatter
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Apr 3, 2006
Messages
11,911
Casillas must have seen akinfeev last night and got jealous
 

Moriath

I am a FH squatter
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Dec 23, 2003
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16,209
Aye Spanish fecked now they bringing Torres on lol, would have thought they keep costa and Torres on but seems they do t want two up top
 

Calaen

I am a massive cock who isn't firing atm!
Joined
Dec 22, 2003
Messages
9,538
sorry we'd have to go back in time by about 5 years ;)

Spanish time is over, Tika fucking taka is dead and thank god for that, never enjonyed their boring style as a neutral.
 

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