ileks
Part of the furniture
- Joined
- Jul 26, 2007
- Messages
- 2,293
Bets for today:
Aus v Netherlands: layed netherlands for £1400 @ 1.25
Cameroon v Croatia: layed Croatia for £877 @ 1.71
Spain v Chile: layed Spain for £1258 @ 1.59
The Spain bet is controversial, but our models say that betfair have them hugely overrrated to win, so we've layed them for maximum bet (£2000/1.59) as it's a very strong conviction. On the other hand, they've got it all to play for and our models don't factor in the emotional and situational side very well, so it might all go a bit pete tong. Oh well. Roll the dice mo'fuckers!
Oh, total running P&L after last night: £1,479.43
Nice one Chilly.
Do you also gamble in play? I'm not talking about the high frequency stuff but proper betting. As in, do your models tell you what the score is likely to be given the score/situation during the game?