- Joined
- Dec 22, 2003
- Messages
- 36,724
50bn is fuck all. And it's the right thing to do.He could have not done it now, but yes, this is inevitable, and everyone has known it for a very long time.
Apart from anything else, the Americans have some serious future financial problems with their defence budget; at the moment, Afghanistan is about $50bn a year, out of a budget of about $700bn, but, the war itself has burned through the service life of vast amounts of their assets, especially aircraft, but also most of their armour and AFVs, which is leading to a looming capital crisis a few years hence. They would be faced with replacing worn out kit to continue the same Afghanistan insurgency mission, OR, what they actually want and need to do, which is modernise (especially the navy) to counter the growing threat of China. The whole US Navy is potentially fucked by Chinese hypersonic missiles, and they currently have no countermeasures, because stuff like railguns are really fucking expensive. They have a ton of issues like this and are going to have to spend big to even stand still, and Afghanistan can't be sustained. I have no doubt the bean counters have been flagging this for a long time and what's going on now is ripping the plaster off, because five minutes from now we'll all have forgotten about it, because it's brown people far away.
If we can't maintain the right thing to do, then we may as well give up and let China do what the fuck they like - because we've failed if we can't do the right thing.
We said "as long as it takes". The bean-counters knew that then, the argument hasn't changed. If "as long as it takes" was never a reality then we shouldn't have gone in in the first place. Or we should have left after 3 years when we realised our claims were pure bullshit.
I don't accept it as inevitable. It isn't. And if we deem it is, on economic grounds alone, then again, our model is a model of failure and needs to be drastically changed.
And if there's one thing I've been accusing the Dem's and Biden on consistently - they're not any sort of party of change or moral superiority. And they're showing it again and again.