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[DaGaffer]

the outcome would not at all be certain.

Oh it would. Argentina has no force projection capability and unlike last time there wouldn't be a failure of political will in the UK to create an opening for them. They'd be coming at a defended Falklands not a handful of bored marines on sheep-shagging duty

 

[Scouse]

Man. Looking at the Argies capability, they've literally got nothing do they.

 

[SilverHood]

Don't disagree @Zarjazz - but it's still a bit silly saying that America would come in on Agentina's side in a new Falklands war.

There's oil. The traditional diplomatic playbook goes out the minute there's oil involved. If Trump thinks that his family can profit by backing Argentina , then they'll back Argentina all the way. I don't think Trump and co expects it to come to blows, but there's a middle ground where a third party handles the oil rights and both Argentina and the UK get a slice of the pie. It might just be that a Jared Kusher backed firm becomes this third party. This is how Trump operates. Graft, Graft and more graft. It should be expected at every turn these days.

 

[Scouse]

Apparently the UK firm who found the oil needed 3.5bn to exploit it - and they got it from Israel, who've taken 2/3rds of the profits apparently.

It's wrong all round tbh. Plenty of corruption. And from their (US n Argies) why shouldn't they be in on it...