Conveyor belts at the ready!

ECA

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Three planes crash at low speed after launching from a stupid conveyor belt contraption designed to confuse internet users.

There is a 30% chance that the pilot will die in each accident.

What is the probability that AT LEAST ONE pilot dies.
 

ECA

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Isnt that the probability of NO pilots dying?
7^3
 

tris-

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isnt the answer just 30% as it states the pilot will die 30% of the time.

or 0.3 if you will.
 

Dukat

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George bush multiplied by the theory of relativity squared!!11 plus one :D
 

ECA

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tris- said:
isnt the answer just 30% as it states the pilot will die 30% of the time.

or 0.3 if you will.

No, in each accident the probability is 30% of a death, what is the probability of a death in THREE accidents.
 

ECA

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Hmmm might be correct actually.
 

tris-

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ah didnt notice it was three planes.

i concur on 0.657
 

Clown

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Depends on how many pilots each plane has and how many rounds of bread they have in their sandwiches.
 

Athan

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The chance of at least one pilot dying is the same as the inverse of no pilots dying. So, chance of surviving each takeoff is 70%, the chance of all three surviving is 0.7^3 indeed, which is 0.343. Thus the chance of at least one dying is 1 - 0.343 = 0.657.

Yes, the same answer others gave, but I've explained why :).

-Ath
 

Tom

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Stupid question. It doesn't say how many pilots there are.
 

Whipped

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It's a lie. 30% is not realistic as everyone knows that a plane on a conveyor belt cannot take off, thereby it cannot crash ;)

So the answer is 0% :D
 

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