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The population on the closed beta PvP server is consistently very low, I have rolled a couple of toons there but haven't had a whiff of another player yet. The regular server, however, is pretty full and seems pretty much balanced between the two sides ... although the crossroads in the Barrens is frequently overrun with high level Alliance types.
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I think you can be reasonably sure Alliance will be the most populated side on most servers, since they are the "good" guys and people like playing as the hero in shining armor etc. The majority of first time mmorpg players will likely chose alliance, but as you say many hardcore pvp guilds will play horde (probably to farm the alliance etc).
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i'm am what people call a noob.... (god, i hate that word >_<)
i haven't played any mmorpg's befor. only dark age trail.... and i'm starting on horde side in the beta and in retail... so also some "n00bs" for horde side ^^ (Argh! what a horrid, horrid word noob is )
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I find it funny how people always assume that Horde is for the x-treme k00l d3wds and alliance is like a walk in the park..
Most likely old mentality from the beta test as alliance was much more complete earlier than horde, but now they can't be seen that much apart from each other PvE "difficulty"* vise. (* as if PvE in WoW is any challenge what so ever anyhow)
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I dont' think that is the point at all. I think ppl are associating Horde with organised guilds because it does have some pvp advantages (shamen, undead) - not because of hard pve. Since when did pvp guilds choose based on pve? And people aren't saying Alliance will be popular because it's easier but because it's prettier and it's the "good" side. And Horde women are f'ing ugly. You get to choose what piercings you want in alliance, in horde you get to choose which way you want your tusks to point.
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As Asha said, i didnt mean to imply that Alliance is easymode or any such thing, i just pointed out that most people new to mmorpgs and perhaps to warcraft, as well as many veterans as well ofc, will chose what looks to them as the right/normal/prettier/recognizable side - i.e. Alliance. Exactly the same phenomenon that has made Albion in daoc the most populated realm on 99% of the servers.
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Which is a shame because alliance dominate in this area. Gnomes and Dwarfs alot shorter, humans about normal, and night elves taller but slim. Horde bar undead are all tall or bulky or both
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